Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name: Adolfo Rubinstein
Author-Name: Eduardo Levy Yeyati
Author-Name: Alejandro López Osornio
Author-Name: Federico Filippini
Author-Name: Adrian Santoro
Author-Name: Cintia Cejas
Author-Name: Ariel Bardach
Author-Name: Alfredo Palacios
Author-Name: Fernando Argento
Author-Name: Jamile Balivian
Author-Name: Federico Augustovski
Author-Name: Andrés Pichón Riviere
Title: An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of Covid-19 NPIs in Argentina
Abstract: We added a multi-sectoral economic framework to a SVEIR epidemiological model, combining the economic rationale of the DAEDALUS model with a detailed treatment of lockdown fatigue and declining compliance with Public Health and Social Measures reported in recent empirical work, to quantify the epidemic and economic benefits and costs of alternative lockdown and PHSM policies, both in terms of intensity and length. Our calibration replicates key features of the case and death-curves and economic cost for Argentina in 2021. The model allows us to quantify the short-term policy trade-off between lives and livelihoods and show that it can be significantly improved with targeted pharmaceutical policies such as vaccine rollout to reduce mainly severe disease and the death toll from COVID-19, as has been highlighted by previous studies.
Creation-Date: 2022-11
Keywords: COVID-19, Argentina
Number: 201
Handle: RePEc:glh:wpfacu:201
File-Url: https://growthlab.cid.harvard.edu/files/growthlab/files/2022-11-cid-wp-421-epi-econ-model.pdf
File-Format: application/pdf